Unglued Booster Box EV Calculator
Estimate the expected value (EV) of an Unglued Booster Box using live TCGplayer market prices and the backend draft-box model.
This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.
48 packs / box10 game cards / pack480 modeled card slots / boxExact weighted variant
One weighted UGL pack variant draws 1 basic land, 6 commons, 2 uncommons, and 1 rare from the committed exact MTGJSON sheets. The complete 10-card pack is drawn before included-pool controls or Sift score outcomes.
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Content Snapshot
Unglued Booster Box Content Snapshot
Each complete ten-card pack is drawn from the committed exact weighted sheets before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.
- Packs
- 48 packs / box
- Cards
- 10 game cards / pack
- Modeled total
- 480 modeled card slots / box
- Rows
- Loading
Pack Structure
Each Unglued Booster is modeled with 10 game-card slots: 1 basic land, 6 commons, 2 uncommons, and 1 rare.
Foil uncommon sheet slots0.0429 expected / pack
Pool: 121 modeled card outcomes.Foil uncommon sheet slots: 0.0429 expected / pack (4.29% expected per pack).
Uncommon sheet slots2.9571 expected / pack
Pool: 121 modeled card outcomes.Uncommon sheet slots: 2.9571 expected / pack.
Foil common sheet slots0.1429 expected / pack
Pool: 121 modeled card outcomes.Foil common sheet slots: 0.1429 expected / pack (14.29% expected per pack).
Common sheet slots9.8571 expected / pack
Pool: 121 modeled card outcomes.Common sheet slots: 9.8571 expected / pack.
Foil rare sheet slots0.0143 expected / pack
Pool: 121 modeled card outcomes.Foil rare sheet slots: 0.0143 expected / pack (1.43% expected per pack).
Rare sheet slots0.9857 expected / pack
Pool: 121 modeled card outcomes.Rare sheet slots: 0.9857 expected / pack (98.57% expected per pack).
Foil basic sheet slots0.0143 expected / pack
Pool: 20 modeled card outcomes.Foil basic sheet slots: 0.0143 expected / pack (1.43% expected per pack).
Basic sheet slots0.9857 expected / pack
Pool: 20 modeled card outcomes.Basic sheet slots: 0.9857 expected / pack (98.57% expected per pack).
Draw all game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.
Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.
Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.
Selling Fees
Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.
Value Threshold
Prices load only from generated same-origin snapshots. Missing values remain unavailable and never fall back to another source. EV applies Sift after the full modeled draw.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.
EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Box EV x 48 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | - | - | - |
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00
Sealed Price / EV
Advertising disclosure: As an eBay Partner Network affiliate, The Expected Value may earn from qualifying purchases. Some marketplace links are affiliate links.
| Source | Box price | Break-even price/box (mid) | P/E | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mana Pool | - | - | - | Unavailable |
| TCGplayer | - | - | - | Unavailable |
| eBay | - | - | - | Unavailable |
| Amazon | - | - | - | Unavailable |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.
Showing all cards
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value ($) | Seller fees (pct + txn) | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
Expected / box0.00