Bright Lights Booster Display EV

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Bright Lights booster displays using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This calculator models product-specific slot composition, rarity weighting, and treatment pools to produce realistic EV and variance projections.

Each sealed display is simulated pack-by-pack using the configured slot behavior shown below. Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: Bright Lights is themed around signature heroes, class identities, and chase treatments that define this Flesh and Blood release.

24 packs / display 16 cards / pack Slots: 11C (NF) • 1 Rare (NF) • 1 Rare+ (R/M NF) • 1 RF • 2 back slots (Token | Expansion | CF)

Selling Fees

Per-row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Changing this can materially shift EV when marketplace prices are stale or sparse. “Min” is most conservative.
Sift is applied to the 16 drawn cards per pack (post‑draw). $0 cards (Token/Expansion) only count when Sift = 0.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.

Purchase EV

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV × 24 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00
Auto-loading generated card data…
Token/Expansion slots remain occupied $0 EV placeholders unless Cold Foil; normal Expansion Slot and normal Legendary rows are not given unsourced card-level odds. CF ≈1/24; CF Legendary ≈1/220; RF Legendary ≈1/80; Maximum Velocity is modeled at half a normal Majestic frequency.

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level EV, fees, profit, and ROI across low, mid, and high estimates.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

US Sealed Price / EV

Compares the current sealed box price to this calculator's break-even price/box after fees. Marketplace rows use each marketplace's low sealed-product price when available.

Sealed box price to break-even EV comparison by marketplace.
Marketplace Box price Break-even price/box (mid) P/E Basis
TCGplayer Loading... -- -- Low sealed price when available.
eBay Loading... -- -- Low sealed price when available.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.
Bright Lights card EV rows with modeled drop rate, prices, seller fees, and boxes per copy.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value ($) Seller fees Boxes / copy