Riftbound booster intelligence
Riftbound · Origins Booster Box EV Calculator
Estimate the expected value of a Riftbound: Origins booster box with live TCGplayer pricing and the calculator’s full slot-level model.
Compare the modeled EV range with your entered box cost to review estimated ROI. This planning metric is not a guaranteed return.
Origins establishes the game’s foundational faction identities, core archetypes, and first premium showcase treatments. Simulations draw complete pack contents first and apply optional Sift filtering only afterward.
Signature cards are not included in this calculation.
Content snapshot
Origins Booster Structure
Current modeled structure and the cards contributing most to the recalculated box Mid.
Pack Structure
Top EV Contributors
| # | Card | Avg. price | Value / box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loading live card contributions… | |||
Included pools Choose which drawn outcomes feed the EV model Loading pools
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.EV Range Monte Carlo Advanced
Purchase EV
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Box EV × 24 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break‑even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Estimated ROI
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Modeled ROI vs entered cost | — | — | — |
How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered box cost. Modeled profit subtracts that box cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.
Sealed Price / EV
Advertising disclosure: As an eBay Partner Network affiliate, The Expected Value may earn from qualifying purchases. Some marketplace links are affiliate links.
| Source | Box price | Break-even price/box (mid) | P/E | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCGplayer | - | - | - | Loading... |
| eBay | - | - | - | Loading... |
Monte Carlo
Simulation Results (after Sift)
Bars group simulated box totals after complete pack contents are drawn, then active pools and optional Sift are applied. Drawn outcomes are never backfilled. X-axis is box value; Y-axis is simulations in that range.
Card value breakdown
Where the Box Mid Comes From
Modeled card shares are normalized to the current recalculated box Mid. Sift is applied only after each card is drawn.
- Alt Art & premium——
- Rare / Epic——
- Foil Rare / Epic——
- Foil Common / Uncommon——
- Common / Uncommon——
Modeled card pool
Card-Level EV Detail
Inspect live prices, treatments, seller fees, and average boxes per copy.
| Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift | 0.00 | |||||