Average EV does not show how often an opening actually reaches that average. Rip Risk plots the modeled distribution after complete box contents are drawn and then Sift is applied. Unsupported products are omitted instead of being approximated from expected-copy rows.
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Full outcome percentiles, recovery probabilities, and charts are available with ProTools access. Product coverage and model limitations remain visible below.
| Product | Acquisition cost | Mean | Median | P10 / P25 / P75 / P90 | Recover 50 / 75 / 100% | Expected down / up | Top 1 / 5 / 10 share | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic 2010 (M10) Booster BoxM10 · 10000 simulations | TCGplayer low | $194.78 | $193.70 | $151.54 / $171.01 / $217.34 / $239.38 | 0.0% / 0.0% / 0.0% | $754.10 / $0.00 | 7.3% / 31.3% / 53.6% | 100.0% |
The same canonical classic_15_card config used by the deterministic model: uniform independent draws within current rarity pools, plus the explicit 7:1 rare/mythic branch.